In the realm of financial markets, certain names resonate with an aura of mystique and brilliance. One such luminary is W.D. Gann, whose pioneering work in market analysis and trading strategies continues to captivate and intrigue traders and investors worldwide. Born on June 6, 1878, in Lufkin, Texas, William Delbert Gann, known as W.D. Gann, left an indelible mark on the world of finance through his innovative techniques and profound insights into market behavior.
Early Life and Education:
Gann’s journey into the world of finance began in the late 19th century. While details of his early education are sparse, it is believed that Gann had limited formal schooling. However, his thirst for knowledge and innate mathematical aptitude led him to delve into the intricacies of financial markets at a young age.
The Business of Trading:
Gann’s foray into trading commenced in the early 20th century when he began his career as a market analyst and trader. His early experiences laid the foundation for his future success, as he immersed himself in studying market patterns and developing trading strategies. Gann’s approach was characterized by a blend of mathematical precision, intuitive insight, and a deep understanding of market dynamics.
Ideology and Trading Philosophy:
Central to Gann’s ideology was the belief that financial markets followed natural laws and geometric patterns that could be deciphered through meticulous analysis. He espoused the idea that price movements in markets were not random but adhered to specific cycles and ratios. Gann’s philosophy emphasized the importance of discipline, patience, and emotional control in trading, traits he deemed essential for success in the markets.
Trading Style and Techniques:
Gann’s trading style was multifaceted, incorporating a diverse array of techniques ranging from astrological analysis to mathematical calculations. One of his most renowned tools was the Gann Square of Nine, a geometric charting method used to predict future price movements based on past market data. Additionally, Gann developed numerous trading strategies, including trend analysis, support and resistance levels, and time cycles, which remain influential in contemporary trading circles.
Legacy and Influence:
Although Gann’s methods were met with skepticism during his lifetime, his prescient forecasts and remarkable track record gradually earned him recognition as one of the most enigmatic figures in financial history. Gann’s legacy endures through his written works, including “The Tunnel Thru the Air” and “How to Make Profits in Commodities,” which continue to inspire traders and analysts to this day. Moreover, Gann’s influence extends beyond his trading techniques, as he inspired generations of market participants to approach trading with a blend of empirical rigor and intuitive insight.
Here are the some most important Investment and Trading Principles of W D Gann.
- If the high price for the entire week is achieved on Friday, expect higher prices next week.
- If the low price for the entire week is achieved on Friday, expect a much lower price next week.
- In a highly up trending market weekly low is achieved on Tuesday.
- If the market is in a strong downtrend (if the main trend is down), the weekly highs are generally achieved on Wednesday.
- When the price crosses the high of the last four weeks, it’s an advance indication of more higher prices.
- When the price breached the low of the last four weeks, it’s an advance indication of more lower prices.
- In an up trending market, if the prices break the 30 DMA & remain below it at least for 2 consecutive days, it tells us of a much greater correction (vice-versa).
- If the market rises for 5 consecutive days, there is a high probability that correction will be lasting for 3 days. (Ratio is 5:3).
- When the price starts rising from a particular level, Rs.100 or 100% rise whichever is earlier becomes a strong resistance.
- When price crosses the high of the last 3 days it tells us about much higher prices on the 4th day. (Traders can buy it on the 4th day and place an SL order below the last 3 days high) (vice-versa).
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1st Principles “If the high price for the entire week is achieved on Friday, expect higher prices next week”
The statement “If the high price for the entire week is achieved on Friday, expect higher prices next week” is based on a technical analysis principle commonly observed in financial markets. Let’s break it down and explore the rationale behind it:
Market Psychology and Momentum:
When the high price for the entire week occurs on a Friday, it often indicates a significant surge in buying interest and momentum towards the end of the trading week. This can be attributed to several factors:
- End-of-Week Positioning: Traders and investors may strategically position themselves towards the end of the week to take advantage of potential market movements over the weekend. If buying pressure intensifies on Friday, it suggests that market participants are optimistic about the outlook for the following week.
- Optimism and Confidence: A strong finish to the week can foster a sense of optimism and confidence among market participants. Positive sentiment towards the end of the week may spill over into the next trading week, leading to continued buying interest and higher prices.
- Technical Breakouts: A high price achieved on Friday could also signify a technical breakout above key resistance levels. Breakouts often attract momentum traders and algorithmic trading systems, further fueling upward price momentum.
Implications for Next Week:
Based on the premise that Friday’s high represents a surge in buying momentum and optimism, traders and analysts extrapolate that this positive momentum may carry over into the following week. Here’s why:
- Continuation of Momentum: If buying pressure remains strong and there are no significant negative developments over the weekend, it is likely that the bullish momentum observed on Friday will persist into the early part of the next trading week.
- Psychological Impact: The psychological impact of ending the week on a high note can influence market sentiment at the beginning of the following week. Traders and investors may interpret Friday’s high as a bullish signal and adjust their trading strategies accordingly, leading to further buying interest.
Considerations and Limitations:
While the observation that Friday’s high often precedes higher prices next week holds true in many cases, it is important to approach it with a degree of caution. Market dynamics can be influenced by a multitude of factors, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, and unforeseen developments.
Additionally, the effectiveness of this principle may vary across different timeframes and market conditions. It is not a foolproof indicator but rather a tool that traders can use in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis methods to form a well-rounded view of market sentiment and potential price movements.
In conclusion, the concept that Friday’s high price signaling higher prices next week is rooted in the observation of market psychology and momentum. While it is not a guarantee of future price movements, it serves as a valuable insight into short-term market dynamics and can aid traders in making informed trading decisions.
2nd Principles “If the low price for the entire week is achieved on Friday, expect a much lower price next week”
The concept of “If the low price for the entire week is achieved on Friday, expect a much lower price next week” is another observation derived from technical analysis principles in financial markets. Let’s delve into the rationale behind this concept:
Market Sentiment and Momentum:
When the low price for the entire week occurs on a Friday, it often signals a significant downturn or selling pressure towards the end of the trading week. This can be interpreted through various lenses:
- Late-Week Selling Pressure: If the week concludes with a low price on Friday, it suggests that selling pressure intensified as the week progressed. Market participants may be liquidating positions or taking profits ahead of the weekend, indicating a lack of confidence or negative sentiment prevailing in the market.
- Bearish Momentum: A low price on Friday could indicate that the prevailing momentum is bearish, with sellers dominating the market and driving prices lower. This could be due to a variety of factors such as negative news, economic concerns, or technical breakdowns triggering further selling.
- Market Psychology: The fact that the low price occurs on Friday can have a psychological impact on market participants. It suggests that sentiment deteriorated significantly towards the end of the week, potentially leading to increased caution and pessimism among traders and investors.
Implications for Next Week:
Given the observation that Friday’s low signals a bearish sentiment and downward momentum, traders and analysts extrapolate that this negative momentum may carry over into the following week. Here’s why:
- Continuation of Selling Pressure: If selling pressure remains strong and there are no significant positive developments over the weekend, it is likely that the bearish momentum observed on Friday will persist into the early part of the next trading week.
- Psychological Impact: The psychological impact of ending the week on a low note can influence market sentiment at the beginning of the following week. Traders and investors may interpret Friday’s low as a bearish signal and adjust their trading strategies accordingly, leading to further selling interest.
Considerations and Limitations:
As with any technical analysis concept, it’s essential to approach this principle with caution and context. Market dynamics are influenced by a multitude of factors, and the predictive power of any single indicator or observation is limited.
Moreover, the effectiveness of this principle may vary across different timeframes, market conditions, and asset classes. It is not a foolproof predictor of future price movements but rather a tool that traders can incorporate into their analysis alongside other indicators and factors.
In conclusion, the concept that Friday’s low price signaling a much lower price next week is based on the observation of market sentiment and momentum. While it can provide valuable insights into short-term market dynamics, traders should complement it with comprehensive analysis and risk management strategies to make informed trading decisions.
3rd Principles “In a highly up trending market weekly low is achieved on Tuesday.”
The observation that “In a highly up-trending market, the weekly low is achieved on Tuesday” is another principle derived from the study of market behavior and technical analysis. Let’s explore the rationale behind this concept:
Market Dynamics and Trends:
In a highly up-trending market, where prices are consistently moving higher over an extended period, certain patterns and tendencies emerge due to the underlying market dynamics. These dynamics can be attributed to various factors:
- Buyer Enthusiasm: In a strong uptrend, buyers are generally more enthusiastic and proactive in entering the market, leading to a continuous influx of buying interest. This enthusiasm often results from positive sentiment, favorable economic conditions, or strong corporate earnings, among other factors.
- Technical Support Levels: As prices trend higher, they establish new support levels, which are price levels where buying interest is expected to emerge and prevent further declines. These support levels can act as points of reference for traders and investors, guiding their buying decisions.
- Market Psychology: In an up-trending market, there is often a prevailing sense of optimism and confidence among market participants. This optimism can lead to a tendency for buyers to step in and support prices, especially following temporary pullbacks or corrections.
Tuesday Effect in Up-Trending Markets:
Given the dynamics of a strong uptrend, the observation that the weekly low is often achieved on Tuesday can be explained by several factors:
- Post-Weekend Adjustment: Following the weekend, traders and investors may reassess market conditions and adjust their positions accordingly. If the market is in a strong uptrend, buyers may seize the opportunity to enter at relatively lower prices, leading to a bounce-back from Monday’s levels.
- Midweek Momentum: Tuesday often marks the middle of the trading week and can set the tone for the remainder of the week. In an up-trending market, the positive momentum from the previous week may carry over into Tuesday, resulting in buying interest and support for prices.
- Continuation of Uptrend: The tendency for the weekly low to occur on Tuesday reflects the underlying strength and resilience of the uptrend. Even during periods of consolidation or minor pullbacks, the prevailing upward momentum remains intact, supporting prices and limiting downside risk.
Considerations and Limitations:
While the observation that the weekly low is often achieved on Tuesday in a highly up-trending market holds true in many cases, it’s essential to approach this concept with context and caution:
- Market Variability: Market behavior can vary significantly based on factors such as economic data releases, geopolitical events, and unexpected developments. Traders should be mindful of the broader market environment and adapt their strategies accordingly.
- Technical and Fundamental Analysis: While the Tuesday effect provides valuable insight into short-term market dynamics, traders should complement it with comprehensive technical and fundamental analysis to form a well-rounded view of market conditions.
- Risk Management: Regardless of market trends or patterns, risk management remains paramount. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies to protect capital and mitigate potential losses, especially in volatile market environments.
In conclusion, the observation that the weekly low is often achieved on Tuesday in a highly up-trending market reflects the underlying dynamics of buyer enthusiasm, technical support levels, and market psychology. While this concept provides valuable insights for traders, it should be utilized in conjunction with thorough analysis and risk management practices to make informed trading decisions.
4th Principles “If the market is in a strong downtrend (if the main trend is down), the weekly highs are generally achieved on Wednesday.”
The observation that “If the market is in a strong downtrend (if the main trend is down), the weekly highs are generally achieved on Wednesday” is a principle derived from the study of market behavior and technical analysis. Let’s explore the rationale behind this concept:
Market Dynamics and Trends:
In a strong downtrend, where prices are consistently moving lower over an extended period, certain patterns and tendencies emerge due to the underlying market dynamics. These dynamics can be attributed to various factors:
- Seller Dominance: In a downtrending market, sellers typically outnumber buyers, exerting downward pressure on prices. This dominance can result from negative sentiment, economic downturns, or adverse geopolitical events, among other factors.
- Technical Resistance Levels: As prices trend lower, they establish new resistance levels, which are price levels where selling interest is expected to emerge and prevent further advances. These resistance levels can act as points of reference for traders and investors, guiding their selling decisions.
- Market Psychology: In a downtrending market, there is often a prevailing sense of pessimism and caution among market participants. This pessimism can lead to a tendency for sellers to take advantage of any price rallies or bounces, leading to further downward pressure on prices.
Wednesday Effect in Down-Trending Markets:
Given the dynamics of a strong downtrend, the observation that the weekly highs are often achieved on Wednesday can be explained by several factors:
- Midweek Reversal: Wednesday marks the midpoint of the trading week and can serve as a turning point for market sentiment. In a downtrending market, sellers may take the opportunity to initiate or add to short positions following any temporary rallies or rebounds earlier in the week.
- Technical Resistance: As prices attempt to recover from earlier declines, they often encounter resistance at key technical levels, such as moving averages, trendlines, or previous support-turned-resistance zones. These technical barriers can attract selling interest and cap any upside potential.
- Continuation of Downtrend: The tendency for the weekly highs to occur on Wednesday reflects the underlying strength and persistence of the downtrend. Despite occasional short-term rebounds or consolidations, the main trend remains firmly bearish, driving prices lower over time.
Considerations and Limitations:
While the observation that the weekly highs are generally achieved on Wednesday in a strong downtrend holds true in many cases, it’s essential to approach this concept with context and caution:
- Market Variability: Market behavior can vary significantly based on factors such as economic data releases, geopolitical events, and unexpected developments. Traders should be mindful of the broader market environment and adapt their strategies accordingly.
- Technical and Fundamental Analysis: While the Wednesday effect provides valuable insight into short-term market dynamics, traders should complement it with comprehensive technical and fundamental analysis to form a well-rounded view of market conditions.
- Risk Management: Regardless of market trends or patterns, risk management remains paramount. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies to protect capital and mitigate potential losses, especially in volatile market environments.
In conclusion, the observation that the weekly highs are generally achieved on Wednesday in a strong downtrend reflects the underlying dynamics of seller dominance, technical resistance levels, and market psychology. While this concept provides valuable insights for traders, it should be utilized in conjunction with thorough analysis and risk management practices to make informed trading decisions.
5th Principles “When the price crosses the high of the last four weeks, it’s an advance indication of more higher prices.”
The statement “When the price crosses the high of the last four weeks, it’s an advance indication of more higher prices” is a technical analysis principle used by traders to identify potential upward momentum and anticipate further price increases. Let’s break down the rationale behind this concept:
Breakout Confirmation:
When the price of an asset surpasses the high of the last four weeks, it signifies a breakout from previous resistance levels. This breakout is significant because it indicates that buyers have overcome selling pressure and are willing to bid prices higher.
Market Psychology:
The act of price breaking above recent highs can trigger psychological reactions among market participants. Traders who were previously on the sidelines may interpret this breakout as a signal of strength and a potential shift in market sentiment. As a result, they may be inclined to enter new long positions or add to existing ones, contributing to upward momentum.
Confirmation of Uptrend:
Crossing the high of the last four weeks can serve as confirmation of an existing uptrend. It suggests that the prevailing upward momentum is strong enough to propel prices to new highs, reinforcing the notion that buyers are in control of the market.
Anticipation of Higher Prices:
Traders often interpret this breakout as a bullish signal, anticipating that the upward momentum will continue and lead to even higher prices in the future. This anticipation may attract more buyers into the market, further fueling the upward trajectory of prices.
Considerations and Limitations:
While the concept of crossing the high of the last four weeks as an indication of more higher prices is widely recognized among traders, it’s important to consider several factors:
- False Breakouts: Not all breakouts lead to sustained upward movements. Some breakouts may fail to maintain momentum and result in false signals. Traders should use additional confirmation indicators and risk management strategies to filter out false breakouts.
- Market Context: The effectiveness of this principle may vary depending on the broader market context, including factors such as economic conditions, geopolitical events, and market sentiment. Traders should consider the overall market environment when interpreting breakouts.
- Volume Confirmation: Analyzing trading volume can provide additional insight into the strength of a breakout. A breakout accompanied by high trading volume is generally considered more reliable than one with low volume, as it indicates greater market participation and conviction.
Conclusion:
In summary, crossing the high of the last four weeks is viewed as a bullish signal by traders, suggesting that upward momentum is likely to continue and potentially lead to higher prices in the future. While this concept provides valuable insight into market dynamics, traders should exercise caution and use additional analysis techniques to confirm breakouts and manage risk effectively.
6th Principles When the price breached the low of the last four weeks, it’s an advance indication of more lower prices.
The statement “When the price breaches the low of the last four weeks, it’s an advance indication of more lower prices” is a fundamental principle in technical analysis used by traders to anticipate further downward movement in prices. Let’s explore the rationale behind this concept:
Breakdown Confirmation:
When the price of an asset falls below the low of the last four weeks, it signifies a breakdown from previous support levels. This breakdown indicates that sellers have overwhelmed buying interest, leading to a breach of key support levels.
Market Psychology:
Similar to breakout scenarios, the breach of the low of the last four weeks can trigger psychological reactions among market participants. Traders who were previously holding long positions may interpret this breakdown as a sign of weakness and a potential shift in market sentiment. As a result, they may liquidate their positions or enter new short positions, contributing to downward momentum.
Confirmation of Downtrend:
Breaching the low of the last four weeks serves as confirmation of an existing downtrend. It suggests that the prevailing downward momentum is strong enough to push prices to new lows, reinforcing the notion that sellers are in control of the market.
Anticipation of Lower Prices:
Traders often interpret this breakdown as a bearish signal, anticipating that the downward momentum will persist and lead to even lower prices in the future. This anticipation may attract more sellers into the market, further fueling the downward trajectory of prices.
Considerations and Limitations:
While the concept of breaching the low of the last four weeks as an indication of more lower prices is widely recognized among traders, it’s important to consider several factors:
- False Breakdowns: Not all breakdowns lead to sustained downward movements. Some breakdowns may fail to maintain momentum and result in false signals. Traders should use additional confirmation indicators and risk management strategies to filter out false breakdowns.
- Market Context: The effectiveness of this principle may vary depending on the broader market context, including factors such as economic conditions, geopolitical events, and market sentiment. Traders should consider the overall market environment when interpreting breakdowns.
- Volume Confirmation: Analyzing trading volume can provide additional insight into the strength of a breakdown. A breakdown accompanied by high trading volume is generally considered more reliable than one with low volume, as it indicates greater market participation and conviction.
Conclusion:
In summary, breaching the low of the last four weeks is viewed as a bearish signal by traders, suggesting that downward momentum is likely to continue and potentially lead to lower prices in the future. While this concept provides valuable insight into market dynamics, traders should exercise caution and use additional analysis techniques to confirm breakdowns and manage risk effectively.
7th Principles “In an up trending market, if the prices break the 30 DMA & remain below it at least for 2 consecutive days, it tells us of a much greater correction (vice-versa).”
The concept you’ve presented involves the 30-day moving average (DMA) and its relationship with price movements in an uptrending market. Let’s break down this concept step by step:
1. Understanding the 30-day Moving Average (DMA):
The 30-day moving average is a technical indicator commonly used by traders and analysts to smooth out short-term price fluctuations and identify the underlying trend direction. It calculates the average closing price of an asset over the past 30 trading days and plots it on a chart.
2. Implications in an Uptrending Market:
In an uptrending market, where prices are generally rising over time, the 30 DMA serves as a reference point for assessing the strength of the uptrend. Here’s how the concept applies:
- Break Below the 30 DMA: When prices break below the 30 DMA, it suggests a potential weakening of the uptrend. This break indicates that selling pressure has increased enough to push prices below their average over the past 30 days.
- Remain Below for 2 Consecutive Days: The significance of the break below the 30 DMA is further emphasized if prices remain below it for at least two consecutive trading days. This duration indicates that the breach is not merely a temporary fluctuation but a sustained movement below the average.
3. Interpretation and Implications:
When prices break the 30 DMA and stay below it for two consecutive days in an uptrending market, it signals a potential shift in market dynamics. Here’s how traders interpret this scenario:
- Weakening of Uptrend: The breach and sustained stay below the 30 DMA suggest a weakening of the prevailing uptrend. It indicates that selling pressure has intensified, potentially leading to a correction or reversal of the uptrend.
- Anticipation of Correction: Traders interpret this scenario as a warning sign of a much greater correction in prices. It suggests that the uptrend may have exhausted its momentum, and further downside movement could be imminent.
4. Vice Versa Scenario:
Conversely, the same concept applies in a downtrending market. If prices break above the 30 DMA and remain above it for two consecutive days, it signals a potential weakening of the downtrend and hints at a potential reversal or correction to the upside.
Considerations and Limitations:
- Confirmation: Traders often seek confirmation from other technical indicators or market signals to validate the significance of the break below the 30 DMA.
- Market Context: The effectiveness of this concept may vary depending on the broader market environment, economic conditions, and other factors. Traders should consider the overall context before making trading decisions based solely on this indicator.
- Risk Management: As with any trading strategy, risk management is essential. Traders should implement appropriate risk management techniques, including stop-loss orders, to protect against potential losses.
In conclusion, the concept of prices breaking below the 30 DMA and remaining below it for two consecutive days in an up trending market signals a potential weakening of the uptrend and anticipation of a greater correction. Traders use this information to adjust their trading strategies and manage risk accordingly.
8th Principles
8th Principles “If the market “rises for 5 consecutive days, there is a high probability that correction will be lasting for 3 days. (Ratio is 5:3).”
1. Observation of Market Behavior:
W.D. Gann was known for his meticulous observation of market patterns and cycles. Through years of studying market movements, he noticed certain recurring phenomena that he believed had predictive power.
2. Five-Day Rise and Three-Day Correction:
According to Gann’s observation, when the market experiences a continuous rise for five consecutive days, there is a high probability that a correction lasting for three days will follow. This ratio of 5:3 implies that the duration of the correction is proportional to the length of the preceding upward move.
3. Psychological and Technical Factors:
The concept is based on both psychological and technical factors influencing market behavior:
- Psychological: After a prolonged period of gains, market participants may become overextended or complacent, leading to profit-taking or a shift in sentiment. A three-day correction provides an opportunity for market participants to reassess their positions and for new buyers to enter at potentially lower prices.
- Technical: The observation may also reflect technical dynamics, such as overbought conditions or the exhaustion of buying pressure. A three-day correction allows the market to retrace a portion of the preceding gains, establishing support levels before potentially resuming the uptrend.
4. Application in Trading:
Traders and analysts who subscribe to Gann’s principle may use it as a guideline for timing their trades or managing risk. For example:
- Anticipation: If the market has risen for five consecutive days, traders may anticipate a potential correction and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. This could involve scaling back long positions or preparing to enter short positions to capitalize on the expected pullback.
- Confirmation: Traders may look for additional technical signals or market indicators to confirm the likelihood of a three-day correction. These could include bearish reversal patterns, overbought conditions on oscillators, or divergences between price and volume.
5. Considerations and Limitations:
- Market Variability: While Gann’s observation may hold true in many instances, market behavior is inherently unpredictable, and there are no guarantees. Traders should be aware of the limitations of any trading principle and use it in conjunction with other analysis techniques.
- Adaptability: Market conditions can change rapidly, and traders should be prepared to adapt their strategies accordingly. Gann’s principle is just one tool in a trader’s toolkit and should be used alongside comprehensive analysis and risk management practices.
In conclusion, Gann’s observation that a five-day rise in the market is often followed by a three-day correction reflects his keen insight into market patterns and cycles. Traders may use this principle as a guideline for timing their trades or managing risk, but it should be applied judiciously and in conjunction with other analysis techniques.
9th Principles “When the price starts rising from a particular level, Rs.100 or 100% rise whichever is earlier becomes a strong resistance.”
W.D. Gann observed that when the price of an asset begins to rise from a specific level, such as Rs.100, or achieves a 100% increase from its previous low, whichever comes earlier, this level becomes a significant resistance point. This concept is based on the idea that such a substantial increase represents a significant psychological and technical barrier for further price advancement.
Explanation:
- Specific Level or Percentage Increase: Gann noted that once the price starts to rally from a particular level, such as Rs.100, or achieves a 100% increase from its previous low, it tends to encounter strong selling pressure.
- Psychological Barrier: This resistance level often becomes a psychological barrier for market participants. Traders who bought at lower levels may be eager to take profits when the price reaches this significant milestone, leading to selling pressure.
- Technical Barrier: Additionally, from a technical perspective, reaching a 100% increase or a round number like Rs.100 may coincide with other resistance factors, such as previous highs, Fibonacci retracement levels, or trendlines, reinforcing the significance of this level.
Example:
Suppose a stock is trading at Rs.50, and it begins a significant uptrend. As the price climbs, it reaches Rs.100, or it doubles to Rs.100 from its previous low at Rs.50. At this point, traders who entered at lower levels may start selling to lock in profits, contributing to selling pressure and causing the price to stall or reverse.
Implications for Trading:
- Resistance Identification: Traders use this concept to identify potential resistance levels when analyzing charts. Once the price approaches Rs.100 or achieves a 100% increase, they anticipate resistance and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
- Confirmation: Traders may look for additional technical signals, such as bearish candlestick patterns or overbought conditions on oscillators, to confirm the significance of the resistance level before making trading decisions.
Considerations:
- Adaptability: While Gann’s concept provides valuable insight, traders should adapt it to the specific characteristics of the market they are trading. Not all assets behave the same way, and market conditions can change rapidly.
- Risk Management: As with any trading strategy, risk management is essential. Traders should implement appropriate risk management techniques, such as placing stop-loss orders, to protect against potential losses if the price breaks above the resistance level.
In summary, W.D. Gann’s observation that Rs.100 or a 100% rise acts as a strong resistance level when the price starts rising from a particular level provides traders with a valuable guideline for analyzing price movements and managing risk. Traders use this concept to anticipate potential selling pressure and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
10th Principles “When the price crosses the high of the last 3 days it tells us about much higher prices on the 4th day. (Traders can buy it on the 4th day and place an SL order below the last 3 days high) (vice-versa).”
W.D. Gann observed that when the price of an asset surpasses the high of the last three days, it often signals the potential for further upward movement, especially on the fourth day. Traders can use this observation to anticipate higher prices and potentially enter long positions on the fourth day, placing stop-loss orders below the highs of the last three days to manage risk. Conversely, the same principle applies in reverse for downward movements.
Explanation:
- Signal of Strength: Crossing the high of the last three days indicates a breakout from recent resistance levels and suggests increasing buying interest in the market. This signal is interpreted as a sign of strength and potential continuation of the upward momentum.
- Confirmation of Trend: Gann’s concept aligns with the idea of trend continuation, where a breakout above recent highs confirms the prevailing uptrend. Traders interpret this as a confirmation that the trend is likely to persist, leading to further price appreciation.
- Risk Management: Placing stop-loss orders below the highs of the last three days helps traders manage risk by defining a clear exit point if the anticipated upward movement fails to materialize. This approach allows traders to limit potential losses while participating in the potential upside.
Example:
Suppose a stock has been trading in a range-bound manner for several days, with resistance forming around Rs.150. On the fourth day, the price breaks above Rs.150 and surpasses the highs of the last three days, reaching Rs.155. Traders who follow Gann’s concept may interpret this breakout as a signal of further upward movement and enter long positions on the fourth day, with stop-loss orders placed below Rs.150 to manage risk.
Implications for Trading:
- Trend Confirmation: Traders use this concept to confirm the strength of an existing trend and identify potential trading opportunities in the direction of the trend.
- Risk Management: Placing stop-loss orders below recent highs helps traders define their risk and protect against adverse price movements.
- Adaptability: While Gann’s concept provides a valuable guideline, traders should adapt it to the specific characteristics of the market they are trading and consider other technical and fundamental factors.
Considerations:
- Confirmation Signals: Traders may seek additional confirmation signals, such as volume expansion or bullish candlestick patterns, to validate the breakout and increase the reliability of the trading signal.
- Market Context: The effectiveness of this concept may vary depending on the broader market environment, economic conditions, and other factors. Traders should consider the overall context before making trading decisions.
In summary, W.D. Gann’s concept of crossing the high of the last three days as a signal for much higher prices on the fourth day provides traders with a valuable guideline for identifying potential trading opportunities and managing risk. Traders can use this concept to confirm trends, enter trades, and implement effective risk management strategies.